Hiding Yet Another IPCC Screwup - North African Food Production Shortfall Claim Is Bogus

Here's another example of how foreign press will cover the disaster that is the Global Warming hype machine and how the movement continues to melt down because of outright lying and manufacturing of data, but the U.S. media will cover it up because it doesn't fit their agenda.

It’s not just the threat of Himalayan glaciers disappearing by 2035.

By the way, that reference is to a claim made in the famous IPCC report that the Himalayan glaciers would melt by 2035.  The UN eventually issued a retraction, which was, of course ignored by the US media.

Now another headline grabbing IPCC scare story is melting away.  A report in Sunday’s London Times highlights new humiliations for the IPCC.

The most important is a claim that global warming could cut rain-fed north African crop production by up to 50% by 2020, a remarkably short time for such a dramatic change. The claim has been quoted in speeches by Rajendra Pachauri, the IPCC chairman, and by Ban Ki-moon, the UN secretary-general.

There is however one teensy-weensy little problem.  As Professor Chris Field, the lead author of the IPCC’s climate impact team has now told reporters that he can find “no evidence” to support the claim in the IPCC’s 2007 report.

There’s more.  When the glacier story broke, IPCC apologists returned over and over again to a saving grace.  The bogus glacier report appeared in the body of the IPCC document, but not in the much more carefully vetted Synthesis Report, in which the IPCC’s senior leadership made its specific recommendations to world leaders.  So it didn’t matter that much, the apologists told us, and we can still trust the rigorously checked and reviewed Synthesis Report.

But that’s where the African rain crisis prediction is found — in the supposedly sacrosanct Synthesis Report.

So: the Synthesis Report contains a major scare prediction — 50% shortfall in North African food production just ten years from now — and there is no serious, peer-reviewed evidence that the prediction is true.

But there’s more. Much, much more.  Readers of the Times and the Telegraph are watching the IPCC’s credibility disappear before their eyes.  The former head of IPCC has publicly said the IPCC risks losing all credibility if it can’t clean up its act.  The head of the largest British funder of environmental research has joined the head of Greenpeace UK in criticizing the IPCC.  (At Greenpeace, they want Pachauri to resign.)  The Dutch government has demanded that the IPCC correct its erroneous assertion that half of the Netherlands is below sea level.  Actually, it’s only about a quarter.  A prediction about the impact of sea level increases on people living in the Nile Delta was taken from an unpublished student dissertation.  The report contained inaccurate data about generating energy from waves and about the cost of nuclear power (this information was apparently taken without being checked directly from a website supported by the nuclear power industry). The deeply environmentalist Guardian carries a story documenting the decline in both public and Conservative Party confidence in need to address global warming.

More significantly, there’s an editorial in today’s Guardian that criticizes shortcomings at the IPCC and calls for a wholesale change in the way climate scientists do their work and communicate with the public.

In my February 1 post on The Death of Global Warming, I said that the movement had been killed by two things: bad science and bad politics.  The Guardian hopes that the parrot isn’t dead yet, but it seems to agree with my basic diagnosis: “It is bad science and bad politics to counter scepticism with righteous indignation. In the long run, public confidence will be inspired more by frankness about what science cannot explain,” write the editors.

The editors pick up another theme that is familiar to readers of this blog:

In trying to avert dangerous climate change, governments are aiming for something extraordinary. They want to transform the global economy because of a hypothesis for which the evidence is mostly inaccessible to the layman.

It is the biggest pre-emption in history, and it relies on collective trust in science.

When the IPCC has its former chief, the Guardian newspaper and the Dutch government demanding change, something has got to give.

And the clincher: 

I just wish all these stories were a little easier to find in the US press.  These stories have been and continue to be on the front pages of UK newspapers; American newspapers by and large aren’t, yet, taking them as seriously and the growing numbers of Americans who are following the scandals are mostly tracking them from internet reports like this one or directly in the British press. This too needs to change, and the sooner the better.

But alas, the fish Wrapper and the rest of the MSM continue to ignore these stories.  Why?  Because it doesn't fit with their radical environmental agenda.

When the Climatgate emails were fist publicized in later November, I watched the Dead Fish Wrapper site for stories.  It took a while, and even then it was just a brief overview.  No big stories, no actual journalism.  Just a quick-try-to-cover-the-story-as-minimally-as possible-because-we-don't-like-the-implications attitude.  Meanwhile, anybody who doesn't rely on the Old Media dinosaurs were able to look elsewhere and find the details about how data was being purposely hidden and manipulated to make something seem true when it really isn't.

You do have to give the Fish Wrapper editors credit for one thing; they're being consistent in trying to bury the disgrace that is the IPCC for as long as possible.

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